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Free Trading Systems

Have you ever wondered if the news that you heard will change the trend of the stock market?

We have selected for you the best economic indicators that are closely related to U.S. equity markets.
Then we calculated the profits that would be earned if you had invested an amount proportional to the strength of each indicator.
To improve the stock index forecasting we have also considered if the trend is increasing or decreasing, through the development of the indicator's derivative.

In summary: information given by the economic indicators are used to generate automatic trading signals to trade the S&P 500 financial index. The result of the trading systems are shown for free in this section. All trading systems have a time horizon of long-term investment. If you want to contribute by suggesting other investment strategies, feel free to propose it with the link in the bottom of this page. Thank you.

For each elaboration you will find charts of:
  1. the SP500 index,
  2. the long or short position to trade the index throught a positive or negative amount,
  3. the course of the gain achived.
Each trading system is the weighted sum of the following two:
  • automatic system based on the economic indicator;
  • system based on the derivative value that anticipates the trend.

Select one of the following Trading Systems to see in detail the results and the daily generated trading signals. Data are last updated on 2021-11-26.

Trading based on indicator Indicator last update Annual % Profits for 20 yearssort Invested amount Invested change Trading signal
Leading Index for the United States 2020-04-14 +9.69% +100% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US National Financial Conditions Risk Subindex 2021-11-24 +8.00% +81.49% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US National Financial Conditions Index 2021-11-24 +7.72% +92.97% 0% BUY AND HOLD
Accumulated US ISM Manufacturing: New Orders Index 2016-06-01 +7.71% +92.12% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Real Gross Private Domestic Investment 2017-07-28 +6.96% +81.49% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US National Financial Conditions Credit Subindex 2021-11-24 +6.93% +61.21% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Gross Domestic Product 2021-10-28 +6.65% +90.74% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Gross National Product 2021-11-24 +6.27% +92.21% 0% BUY AND HOLD
Accumulated US ISM Manufacturing: PMI Composite In 2016-06-01 +6.06% +88.09% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Personal Consumption Expenditures 2021-11-24 +6.03% +98.76% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Gross Private Domestic Investment 2021-10-28 +5.91% +90.91% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Gov. Consumption Expend. & Gross Invest. 2021-10-28 +5.59% +91.58% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Gross Domestic Product Monthly 2013-01-31 +4.98% +44.64% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Corporate Profits After Tax 2021-11-24 +4.95% +97.08% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Financial Stress Index, Kansas City 2021-11-09 +4.51% +83.99% 0% BUY AND HOLD
Exp. Average US Job Openings 2021-11-12 +4.11% +100% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Real Retail and Food Services Sales 2021-11-16 +3.94% +86.99% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Civilian Unemployment Rate 2021-11-05 +3.72% +59.72% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Total Nonfarm Private Payroll Employment 2021-11-03 +3.65% +68.55% 0% BUY AND HOLD
BofA ML US High Yield Master II Option-Adj. Spread 2021-11-29 +3.61% +67.36% -0.8% BUY LESS
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index 2020-03-19 +3.33% -0.42% 0% SELL AND HOLD
US Job Openings 2021-11-12 +3.03% +97.59% 0% BUY AND HOLD
Exp. Average US Employment, Unemployment, Hours Ac 2021-11-22 +2.97% +15.46% 0% BUY AND HOLD
Exp. Average US Housing Starts 2021-11-17 +2.67% -8.13% 0% SELL AND HOLD
US Initial Claims 4-Week Moving Average 2021-11-24 +2.57% +40.52% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Nonfarm Private Large Payroll Employment 2021-11-03 +2.35% +63.66% 0% BUY AND HOLD
3 Months Exp. Average SP500 index 2021-11-26 +2.23% +81.32% -0.55% BUY LESS
Exp. Average US Production and Income Activity Ind 2021-11-22 +2.22% +26.46% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Durable Goods New Orders of Manufacturers 2021-11-24 +2.18% +68.8% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Civilian Employment 2021-11-05 +2.09% +56.31% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Building Permits of New Private Housing Units 2021-11-17 +2.05% +13.54% 0% BUY AND HOLD
Exp. Average US Sales, Orders, Inventories Activit 2021-11-22 +1.99% +5.58% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Industrial Production Index 2021-11-16 +1.86% -19.38% 0% SELL AND HOLD
US Industrial Production: Manufacturing 2021-11-16 +1.72% +10.11% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Capacity Utilization 2021-11-16 +1.71% +44.3% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Civilian Employment-Population Ratio 2021-11-05 +1.43% +38.16% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US New Orders of Manufacturers 2021-11-24 +1.25% +98.43% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US National Activity Index: 3 Month Moving Average 2021-11-22 -0.35% +8.52% 0% BUY AND HOLD
US Velocity of M2 Money Stock 2021-10-28 -5.42% -81.68% 0% SELL AND HOLD




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